Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 74.513972 83.782603 93.279916 103.707609 114.804216 126.230668 138.856827
2025-03-16 59.593206 72.760711 86.880268 103.018730 120.831400 139.778325 161.343837
2025-03-23 51.796323 67.250593 84.377636 104.504877 127.263821 151.977571 180.624857
2025-03-30 46.138062 63.284631 82.842089 106.368610 133.500570 163.449844 198.660244
2025-04-06 40.202618 58.298540 79.536847 105.663925 136.353498 170.739426 211.679765
2025-04-13 34.365703 52.843480 75.177980 103.273517 136.868393 175.046666 221.040624
2025-04-20 32.238095 51.788529 75.934166 106.793245 144.151766 187.019347 239.072920
2025-04-27 29.788690 50.074791 75.685435 108.936903 149.680623 196.869240 254.602785
2025-05-04 26.447692 46.883808 73.343281 108.308048 151.722330 202.511720 265.152477
2025-05-11 23.350848 43.755287 70.864812 107.322368 153.178121 207.343454 274.659401
2025-05-18 21.249432 41.848531 69.844999 108.064680 156.660700 214.523205 286.885030
2025-05-25 18.928368 39.417276 67.967875 107.575991 158.515380 219.673741 296.651235
2025-06-01 17.139626 37.664491 66.947035 108.175820 161.749076 226.547985 308.573218
2025-06-08 14.960254 35.101916 64.655762 106.986002 162.640049 230.518839 316.989272
2025-06-15 13.815836 34.097031 64.492500 108.580348 167.039373 238.765102 330.547769
2025-06-22 12.856334 33.310013 64.583194 110.475696 171.800620 247.448661 344.641920
2025-06-29 11.301451 31.339704 62.826662 109.756548 173.109041 251.807301 353.447992
2025-07-06 9.494348 28.700442 59.914590 107.310569 172.061030 253.151508 358.511212
2025-07-13 9.219323 28.894649 61.315804 110.911597 178.987072 264.512337 375.892719
2025-07-20 8.658596 28.478958 61.736963 113.104212 184.037945 273.514833 390.385705
2025-07-27 7.567767 26.881005 60.216185 112.461035 185.263497 277.651824 398.853827
2025-08-03 6.517203 25.217728 58.494106 111.452837 185.943739 281.057730 406.389870
2025-08-10 5.874271 24.347447 58.010209 112.212115 188.988035 287.468322 417.661618